Ep 243-1: Katherine Jia Feb 2022: Excess COVID-19-associated deaths among the unvaccinated population >18 years old in the United States, May 30 – December 4, 2021
To calculate, they subtracted the death rate in the vaccinated from rates in the unvaccinated and multiplied this rate difference by the number of people in the unvaccinated group for each age group and each week.
Overall 135,000 extra deaths because on non-vaccination.
Ep 243-2: Paredes medRxiv 16 Feb 2022 Differential risk on hospitalization according to SARS-CoV-2 variant in Washington State
Overall (irrespective of vaccination): risk gamma> beta > delta> alpha, but omicron = ancestral strain
Taking vaccination into account: significant reduction of risk, especially for omicron.
PREGNANCY VACCINATION FOR NEWBORNS
Ep 243-3: Halasa MMWR 15 Feb ’22: 2 doses Pfizer during pregnancy protect newborns (> 6 months) against COVID -associated hospitalization.
WANING IMMUNE RESPONSES
- IN ADOLESCENTS
Ep 243-4: Powell medRxiv 15 Feb ’22: A second dose of Pfizer is required to keep vaccine effectiveness against delta and omicron, but VE wanes like in adults
Ep 243-5: Burns medRxiv 16 Feb ’22: Similar findings at the level of neutralizing antibodies in adolescents in US:
- Serum from adolescents showed that anti-Spike antibodies wane significantly over 6 months.
- After completion of a two-vaccine series, cross-reactivity against Omicron-specific receptor-binding domain (RBD) was seen.
Evidence of waning mRNA- induced vaccine immunity underscores vulnerabilities in long-term pediatric protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection, while cross-reactivity highlights the additional benefits of vaccination.
- IN ADULTS
Ep 243-6: Tseng medRxiv 18 Feb 2022 Vaccine effectiveness against delta and omicron infection in a test-negative control study in Southern California
- In general population
Waning after 2 doses Waning after booster
2)In immunocompromised subjects: 3-dose VE was only 29.4% (0.3–50.0%) against omicron infection in immunocompromised individuals, but 3-dose VE against hospitalization with delta or omicron was >99%.
Ep 243-7: Georgina Ireland medRxiv 18 Feb 2022: differential course of S-specific antibodies after infection and vaccination.
After vaccination: as expected a rapid serological response post-booster for all primary immunisation vaccines and schedules, to higher levels than observed after dose 2 of the primary schedule,
but waning was observed after 5 weeks.
By contrast: in naturally infected unvaccinated subjects very little S-antibody waning up to 365 days
Interpretation: The rapid waning of post-booster antibodies along the same trajectory as two primary immunisation doses indicates that a fourth dose may be required when predictions of future waves coincide with declining protection ??
FOUR DOSE REGIMEN: not so bright as we would hope!
Ep 243-8: Regev-Yochay medRxiv 15 Feb 2022: 4th mRNA (either Pfizer or Moderna) in health care workers with low IgG after 3rd vaccine
Nice restoration of neutralizing antibody titers
However: high incidence rate of mildly symptomatic omicron infections !!!
Conclusion: Low efficacy in preventing mild or asymptomatic Omicron infections and the
infectious potential of breakthrough cases raise the urgency of next generation vaccine development.
Ep 243-9: Wang medRxiv 18 Feb 2022: A fourth dose of the inactivated Sinopharm vaccine induced a peak Receptor Binding Domain (RBD)-Neutralizing Abs that was inferior to the peak of the 3rd dose. The immune system shifted responses to the nucleocapsid protein (NP) and the N-terminal domain (NTD) of the spike protein.
Interpretation: immune responses could not be endlessly elevated, while suppression of heightened immune responses focusing on one subunit (RBD) together with a shift of immune responses to other subunits would occur after repeated vaccination.
The presented data further underscore the importance of a two-dose regimen to protect against symptomatic severe disease in newborns (vaccination during pregnancy), adolescents and adults. Unfortunately, vaccine-induced antibodies wane quicker than those induced by natural infection. A third vaccine dose is clearly very useful to protect against delta and omicron, but the question whether a fourth dose of either an RNA or inactivated vaccine is really very useful in immunocompetent subjects remains open.
5 Oct 2022 Episode 289: Omicron BA.2.75 revisited and the outlook for new variants, including BQ.1.1
> More info